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Scenario Thinking

Practical Approaches to the Future

Palgrave Macmillan

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Table of contents (10 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xvi
  2. Working with Scenarios: Introducing the Basic Method

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 18-46
  3. Understanding Stakeholder Viewpoints

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 64-82
  4. Augmented Scenario Approaches: Delving Deeper and Stretching Wider

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 83-102
  5. Scenarios and Decision Analysis

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 103-115
  6. Creating Robust Strategies and Robust Organizations

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 116-131
  7. The Backwards Logic Method of Constructing Extreme Scenarios

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 132-141
  8. Diagnosing Organizational Receptiveness

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 142-162
  9. Summary

    • George Wright, George Cairns
    Pages 163-164
  10. Back Matter

    Pages 165-176

About this book

Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.

Reviews

'An essential guide to scenario thinking for all organizations - and forward looking individuals'. - Prof Ziauddin Sardar, Editor, Futures

Authors and Affiliations

  • Durham Business School, UK

    George Wright

  • RMIT University, Australia

    George Cairns

About the authors

George Wright is currently Professor of Management at Durham Business School, University of Durham, UK. He has consulted and provided management development programmes on scenario thinking and decision making with organizations such as Bayer, EADS, Petronas, Scottish Power, Thales, United Utilities, and national and local government in the UK. He has published on scenario thinking in international journals, including Futures, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Management Studies, and Organization Studies.

George Cairns is currently Head of School of Management at RMIT University, Australia. He has worked with scenario method and delivered workshops for organizations including National Air Traffic Services, South East England Development Agency, the Facility Management Association of Australia, and the Risk Management Institution of Australasia. He has contributed to a project exploring higher education futures for Romania, funded by the European Social Fund, and has published in international journals, including Technological Forecasting and Social Change and Futures.

Both authors can be contacted by e-mail via: scenariothinkers@gmail.com

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access